Combat Edge Intelligence

Rob Wilkinson vs Valentin Moldavsky

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

20-5-0Record15-4-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'1"
80"Reach75"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Hybrid Training CentreTeamFedorTeam

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Rob WilkinsonNow 1708
If they win+16→ 1724
If they lose-16→ 1692
Valentin MoldavskyNow 1710
If they win+16→ 1726
If they lose-16→ 1694

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1663 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1660 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.74
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
50%
Strike accuracy
TBD
5.66
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
39%
Strike defense
TBD
4.47
Takedown avg.
TBD
25%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
0%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Rob WilkinsonValentin Moldavsky
165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

11 (55%)
KO/TKO
2 (13%)
7 (35%)
Submission
3 (20%)
2 (10%)
Decision
10 (67%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Rob Wilkinson and Valentin Moldavsky within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1708 vs 1710), separated by just 2 points.

Valentin Moldavsky enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Rob Wilkinson finishes 90% of wins inside the distance, Valentin Moldavsky 33%.

Rob Wilkinson carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.