Combat Edge Intelligence

Roberto Mario Ionescu vs Takeshi Yamazaki

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

3-2-1Record15-12-3
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'8"
70"ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Circus ArenaTeamGrabaka

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Roberto Mario IonescuNow 1524
If they win+23→ 1547
If they lose-25→ 1499
Takeshi YamazakiNow 1511
If they win+12→ 1523
If they lose-12→ 1499

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1510 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1522 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Roberto Mario IonescuTakeshi Yamazaki
1500155020102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (67%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
1 (33%)
Submission
9 (60%)
0 (0%)
Decision
6 (40%)

Combat Edge model read

Roberto Mario Ionescu62%
Takeshi Yamazaki 38%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Roberto Mario Ionescu a 62% favorite over Takeshi Yamazaki in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1524 vs 1511), separated by just 13 points.

Takeshi Yamazaki enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Roberto Mario Ionescu finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Takeshi Yamazaki 60%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.