Rodrigo Gracie vs Ryan Loder
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-2-1Record7-3-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'2"
TBDReach76"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
TBDTeamApex Wrestling Academy
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1617
If they lose-24→ 1569
If they win+16→ 1606
If they lose-16→ 1574
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1561 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1537 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Rodrigo GracieRyan Loder
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ryan Loder53%
Rodrigo Gracie 47%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Ryan Loder a 53% favorite over Rodrigo Gracie in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Rodrigo Gracie's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1593 vs 1590), separated by just 3 points.
Ryan Loder enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Rodrigo Gracie finishes 33% of wins inside the distance, Ryan Loder 71%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.