Combat Edge Intelligence

Rodrigo Gracie vs Tre'ston Vines

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

6-2-1Record10-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'0"
TBDReach79"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
TBDTeamKage Fit Academy

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Rodrigo GracieNow 1593
If they win+24→ 1617
If they lose-24→ 1569
Tre'ston VinesNow 1591
If they win+16→ 1607
If they lose-16→ 1575

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1561 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1527 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
0
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Rodrigo GracieTre'ston Vines
155016002004200520062007200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
6 (60%)
2 (33%)
Submission
1 (10%)
4 (67%)
Decision
3 (30%)

Combat Edge model read

Tre'ston Vines62%
Rodrigo Gracie 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Tre'ston Vines a 62% favorite over Rodrigo Gracie in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Rodrigo Gracie's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1593 vs 1591), separated by just 2 points.

Rodrigo Gracie finishes 33% of wins inside the distance, Tre'ston Vines 70%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.