Combat Edge Intelligence

Roman Dolidze vs Royce Gracie

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Roman Dolidze
ge

Roman Dolidze

“The Caucasian”

15-5-0Light HeavyweightUFC

1725Good

Tale of the tape

15-5-0Record15-2-3
Light HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'3"Height6'0"
76"Reach--
205 lbsWeight176 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamGracie Humaita

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Roman DolidzeNow 1725
If they win+16→ 1741
If they lose-16→ 1709
Royce GracieNow 1726
If they win+16→ 1742
If they lose-16→ 1710

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1719 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1618 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.19
Sig. strikes / min
0.88
42%
Strike accuracy
41%
3.71
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.13
48%
Strike defense
38%
1.16
Takedown avg.
0
28%
Takedown accuracy
0%
32%
Takedown defense
67%
0.74
Submission avg.
0.76

Trajectory

Roman DolidzeRoyce Gracie
170017502017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (53%)
KO/TKO
2 (13%)
3 (20%)
Submission
11 (73%)
4 (27%)
Decision
2 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Roman Dolidze64%
Royce Gracie 36%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Roman Dolidze a 64% favorite over Royce Gracie in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Royce Gracie's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1725 vs 1726), separated by just 1 points.

Roman Dolidze enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Royce Gracie enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Roman Dolidze finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Royce Gracie 87%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.