Combat Edge Intelligence

Ronald Carillo vs Trevin Jones

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

4-2-0Record14-12-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
TBDHeight5'6"
TBDReach70"
132 lbsWeight135 lbs
TBDTeamVida Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ronald CarilloNow 1551
If they win+24→ 1575
If they lose-24→ 1527
Trevin JonesNow 1554
If they win+16→ 1570
If they lose-16→ 1538

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1498 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1619 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.13
TBD
Strike accuracy
37%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.29
TBD
Strike defense
40%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.62
TBD
Takedown accuracy
15%
TBD
Takedown defense
60%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.21

Trajectory

Ronald CarilloTrevin Jones
15001550160020112012201320142015201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

1 (25%)
KO/TKO
3 (21%)
3 (75%)
Submission
4 (29%)
0 (0%)
Decision
7 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Ronald Carillo63%
Trevin Jones 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ronald Carillo a 63% favorite over Trevin Jones in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Trevin Jones's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1551 vs 1554), separated by just 3 points.

Trevin Jones enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Ronald Carillo finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Trevin Jones 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.