Combat Edge Intelligence

Ronaldo Rodríguez vs Steve Erceg

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Steve Erceg
au

Steve Erceg

“Astro Boy”

14-4-0FlyweightUFC

1705Good

Tale of the tape

17-3-0Record14-4-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'8"
65"Reach 68"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Prime Combat AcademyTeamWilkes Martial Arts

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ronaldo RodríguezNow 1697
If they win+16→ 1713
If they lose-16→ 1681
Steve ErcegNow 1705
If they win+16→ 1721
If they lose-16→ 1689

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1533 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1647 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.13
Sig. strikes / min
4.64
45%
Strike accuracy
48%
3.15
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.07
47%
Strike defense
56%
1.13
Takedown avg.
1.13
50%
Takedown accuracy
28%
64%
Takedown defense
67%
1.13
Submission avg.
0.38

Trajectory

Ronaldo RodríguezSteve Erceg
165017002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (44%)
KO/TKO
2 (14%)
5 (31%)
Submission
6 (43%)
4 (25%)
Decision
6 (43%)

Combat Edge model read

Steve Erceg60%
Ronaldo Rodríguez 40%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Steve Erceg a 60% favorite over Ronaldo Rodríguez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1697 vs 1705), separated by just 8 points.

Steve Erceg enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Ronaldo Rodríguez finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Steve Erceg 57%.

Ronaldo Rodríguez and Steve Erceg share 1 common opponent: Ode Osbourne.

Steve Erceg carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinDecision (unanimous) · 2024
Ode Osbourne
WinDecision (unanimous) · 2025