Combat Edge Intelligence

Rousimar Palhares vs Said-Khusein Akhyadov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

19-13-1Record9-5-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'8"Height5'8"
TBDReach-
170 lbsWeight160 lbs
Team NogueiraTeamStallion Gym

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Rousimar PalharesNow 1544
If they win+12→ 1556
If they lose-12→ 1532
Said-Khusein AkhyadovNow 1549
If they win+16→ 1565
If they lose-16→ 1533

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1543 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1511 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.75
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
52%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.04
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
60%
Strike defense
TBD
3.93
Takedown avg.
TBD
46%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
0%
Takedown defense
TBD
4.11
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Rousimar PalharesSaid-Khusein Akhyadov
150015502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
5 (56%)
16 (84%)
Submission
0 (0%)
3 (16%)
Decision
4 (44%)

Combat Edge model read

Said-Khusein Akhyadov71%
Rousimar Palhares 29%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Said-Khusein Akhyadov a 71% favorite over Rousimar Palhares in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1544 vs 1549), separated by just 5 points.

Rousimar Palhares enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Said-Khusein Akhyadov enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Rousimar Palhares finishes 84% of wins inside the distance, Said-Khusein Akhyadov 56%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.