Combat Edge Intelligence

Rulon Gardner vs Sean Sharaf

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Sean Sharaf
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Sean Sharaf

“The Smoke”

4-2-0HeavyweightUFC

1543Average

Tale of the tape

1-0-0Record4-2-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'2"
TBDReach77"
264 lbsWeight252 lbs
Team QuestTeamXtreme Couture

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Rulon GardnerNow 1532
If they win+25→ 1557
If they lose-23→ 1509
Sean SharafNow 1543
If they win+23→ 1566
If they lose-25→ 1518

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1616 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1525 · 6 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
7.41
TBD
Strike accuracy
44%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
15
TBD
Strike defense
43%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.93
TBD
Takedown accuracy
11%
TBD
Takedown defense
0%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Rulon GardnerSean Sharaf
15501600200520062007200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
4 (100%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
1 (100%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Sean Sharaf60%
Rulon Gardner 40%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Sean Sharaf a 60% favorite over Rulon Gardner in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1532 vs 1543), separated by just 11 points.

Sean Sharaf enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Sean Sharaf 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.