Combat Edge Intelligence

Ruslan Satiev vs Shane Campbell

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

6-0-0Record24-8-0
BantamweightDivisionLightweight
5'6"Height6'0"
-Reach71,0"
135 lbsWeight155 lbs
KHK MMA DagestanTeamShaolin Muay Thai

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ruslan SatievNow 1636
If they win+24→ 1660
If they lose-24→ 1612
Shane CampbellNow 1634
If they win+12→ 1646
If they lose-12→ 1622

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1500 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1532 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.99
TBD
Strike accuracy
60%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.19
TBD
Strike defense
55%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.36
TBD
Takedown accuracy
29%
TBD
Takedown defense
82%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Ruslan SatievShane Campbell
16001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (50%)
KO/TKO
9 (38%)
2 (33%)
Submission
6 (25%)
1 (17%)
Decision
9 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

Ruslan Satiev66%
Shane Campbell 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ruslan Satiev a 66% favorite over Shane Campbell in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1636 vs 1634), separated by just 2 points.

Ruslan Satiev enters on a 6-fight win streak.

Ruslan Satiev finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Shane Campbell 63%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.