Ryan Spann vs Sergey Bilostenniy
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-11-0Record15-4-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'5"Height6'1"
79"Reach75"
205 lbsWeight262 lbs
Fortis MMATeamRaty Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1722
If they lose-12→ 1698
If they win+16→ 1724
If they lose-16→ 1692
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1675 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1608 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ryan SpannSergey Bilostenniy
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Sergey Bilostenniy51%
Ryan Spann 49%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Sergey Bilostenniy a 51% favorite over Ryan Spann in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ryan Spann's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1710 vs 1708), separated by just 2 points.
Ryan Spann enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Sergey Bilostenniy enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Ryan Spann finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Sergey Bilostenniy 73%.
Ryan Spann carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.