Combat Edge Intelligence

Samandar Murodov vs Zhakshylyk Myrzabekov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-0-0Record15-2-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height5'10"
TBDReach70"
170 lbsWeight171 lbs
Fight Club Akhmat TajikistanTeamAlfa Profi

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Samandar MurodovNow 1709
If they win+16→ 1725
If they lose-16→ 1693
Zhakshylyk MyrzabekovNow 1710
If they win+16→ 1726
If they lose-16→ 1694

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1519 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1538 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.41
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
81%
Strike accuracy
TBD
0.80
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
0%
Strike defense
TBD
3.01
Takedown avg.
TBD
100%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
0%
Takedown defense
TBD
3.01
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Samandar MurodovZhakshylyk Myrzabekov
165017002022202320242025

Win method breakdown

2 (20%)
KO/TKO
6 (40%)
5 (50%)
Submission
2 (13%)
3 (30%)
Decision
7 (47%)

Combat Edge model read

Zhakshylyk Myrzabekov60%
Samandar Murodov 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Zhakshylyk Myrzabekov a 60% favorite over Samandar Murodov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1709 vs 1710), separated by just 1 points.

Samandar Murodov enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Zhakshylyk Myrzabekov enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Samandar Murodov finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Zhakshylyk Myrzabekov 53%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.