Combat Edge Intelligence

Samuel Sanches vs Sidney Outlaw

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-1-0Record17-6-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'8"
74"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Galpao da LutaTeamDante Rivera BJJ

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Samuel SanchesNow 1675
If they win+16→ 1691
If they lose-16→ 1659
Sidney OutlawNow 1674
If they win+16→ 1690
If they lose-16→ 1658

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1483 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1621 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.95
Sig. strikes / min
0.13
75%
Strike accuracy
33%
0
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
0.80
100%
Strike defense
71%
0
Takedown avg.
3
TBD
Takedown accuracy
75%
100%
Takedown defense
0%
0
Submission avg.
3

Trajectory

Samuel SanchesSidney Outlaw
15501600165017002022202320242025

Win method breakdown

8 (73%)
KO/TKO
1 (6%)
1 (9%)
Submission
8 (47%)
2 (18%)
Decision
8 (47%)

Combat Edge model read

Samuel Sanches64%
Sidney Outlaw 36%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Samuel Sanches a 64% favorite over Sidney Outlaw in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1675 vs 1674), separated by just 1 points.

Samuel Sanches enters on a 8-fight win streak.

Samuel Sanches finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, Sidney Outlaw 53%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.