Sarah Alpar vs Victoria Leonardo
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-6-0Record10-7-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'4"Height5'5"
TBDReach64"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
American Elite MMATeamElite Combat Academy
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1571
If they lose-16→ 1539
If they win+16→ 1575
If they lose-16→ 1543
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1551 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1563 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Sarah AlparVictoria Leonardo
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Sarah Alpar63%
Victoria Leonardo 37%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Sarah Alpar a 63% favorite over Victoria Leonardo in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Victoria Leonardo's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1555 vs 1559), separated by just 4 points.
Sarah Alpar enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Sarah Alpar finishes 44% of wins inside the distance, Victoria Leonardo 60%.
Sarah Alpar and Victoria Leonardo share 1 common opponent: Erin Blanchfield.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.