Combat Edge Intelligence

Scott Bills vs Taylor Michels

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

7-9-1Record1-1-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'8"Height6'0"
TBDReach70"
169 lbsWeight170 lbs
TBDTeamAcademy of Combat Arts

What's at stake

Taylor Michels is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +21 while a loss costs more — Scott Bills carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Scott BillsNow 1459
If they win+18→ 1477
If they lose-14→ 1445
Taylor MichelsNow 1498
If they win+21→ 1519
If they lose-27→ 1471

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1521 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 2 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Scott BillsTaylor Michels
14501500200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (33%)
KO/TKO
1 (100%)
3 (50%)
Submission
0 (0%)
1 (17%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Taylor Michels78%
Scott Bills 22%Elo baseline: 56%

The Combat Edge model makes Taylor Michels a 78% favorite over Scott Bills in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).

Taylor Michels holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1498 to 1459, a 39-point edge.

Scott Bills finishes 83% of wins inside the distance.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.