Combat Edge Intelligence

Scott Lighty vs Zac Pauga

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Zac Pauga
us

Zac Pauga

“The Ripper”

7-4-0Light HeavyweightXFC

1571Solid

Tale of the tape

6-2-0Record7-4-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'0"
TBDReach76"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
S.K.S. Fight TeamTeamElevation Fight Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Scott LightyNow 1573
If they win+24→ 1597
If they lose-24→ 1549
Zac PaugaNow 1571
If they win+16→ 1587
If they lose-16→ 1555

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1523 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1575 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
4.46
TBD
Strike accuracy
63%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.73
TBD
Strike defense
59%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.38
TBD
Takedown accuracy
8%
TBD
Takedown defense
100%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Scott LightyZac Pauga
155016002009201020112012201320142015201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

4 (67%)
KO/TKO
1 (14%)
1 (17%)
Submission
1 (14%)
1 (17%)
Decision
5 (71%)

Combat Edge model read

Zac Pauga52%
Scott Lighty 48%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Zac Pauga a 52% favorite over Scott Lighty in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Scott Lighty's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1573 vs 1571), separated by just 2 points.

Scott Lighty finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Zac Pauga 29%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.