Combat Edge Intelligence

Sean Gauci vs Tony Gravely

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

11-1-0Record23-9-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'5"Height5'5"
64"Reach69"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Ignite Martial Arts AcademyTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Sean GauciNow 1685
If they win+16→ 1701
If they lose-16→ 1669
Tony GravelyNow 1684
If they win+12→ 1696
If they lose-12→ 1672

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1514 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1650 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.82
TBD
Strike accuracy
48%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.47
TBD
Strike defense
44%
TBD
Takedown avg.
5.40
TBD
Takedown accuracy
42%
TBD
Takedown defense
52%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.30

Trajectory

Sean GauciTony Gravely
16501700202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (45%)
KO/TKO
10 (43%)
0 (0%)
Submission
3 (13%)
6 (55%)
Decision
10 (43%)

Combat Edge model read

Sean Gauci60%
Tony Gravely 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Sean Gauci a 60% favorite over Tony Gravely in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1685 vs 1684), separated by just 1 points.

Sean Gauci enters on a 8-fight win streak.

Tony Gravely enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Sean Gauci finishes 45% of wins inside the distance, Tony Gravely 57%.

Tony Gravely carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.