Combat Edge Intelligence

Sean Rose vs Łukasz Brzeski

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

2-2-0Record9-7-1
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'2"
N/AReach78"
264 lbsWeight236 lbs
TBDTeamNKSW Holy Team

What's at stake

Łukasz Brzeski is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Sean Rose carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Sean RoseNow 1472
If they win+28→ 1500
If they lose-20→ 1452
Łukasz BrzeskiNow 1535
If they win+13→ 1548
If they lose-19→ 1516

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1501 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1644 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
5.02
TBD
Strike accuracy
50%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.68
TBD
Strike defense
55%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.43
TBD
Takedown accuracy
33%
TBD
Takedown defense
37%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.43

Trajectory

Sean RoseŁukasz Brzeski
1450150015501600202320242025

Win method breakdown

2 (100%)
KO/TKO
5 (56%)
0 (0%)
Submission
2 (22%)
0 (0%)
Decision
2 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

Łukasz Brzeski58%
Sean Rose 42%Elo baseline: 59%

The Combat Edge model makes Łukasz Brzeski a 58% favorite over Sean Rose in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).

Łukasz Brzeski holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1535 to 1472, a 63-point edge.

Łukasz Brzeski enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Łukasz Brzeski 78%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.