Combat Edge Intelligence

Seung Chul Lee vs Steve Erceg

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Steve Erceg
au

Steve Erceg

“Astro Boy”

14-4-0FlyweightUFC

1705Good

Tale of the tape

12-1-0Record14-4-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'4"Height5'8"
67"Reach 68"
124 lbsWeight125 lbs
DK Multi GymTeamWilkes Martial Arts

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Seung Chul LeeNow 1703
If they win+16→ 1719
If they lose-16→ 1687
Steve ErcegNow 1705
If they win+16→ 1721
If they lose-16→ 1689

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1496 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1647 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
4.64
TBD
Strike accuracy
48%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.07
TBD
Strike defense
56%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.13
TBD
Takedown accuracy
28%
TBD
Takedown defense
67%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.38

Trajectory

Seung Chul LeeSteve Erceg
160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (58%)
KO/TKO
2 (14%)
3 (25%)
Submission
6 (43%)
2 (17%)
Decision
6 (43%)

Combat Edge model read

Steve Erceg53%
Seung Chul Lee 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Steve Erceg a 53% favorite over Seung Chul Lee in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1703 vs 1705), separated by just 2 points.

Seung Chul Lee enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Steve Erceg enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Seung Chul Lee finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Steve Erceg 57%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.