Combat Edge Intelligence

Shane Campbell vs Sirwan Kakai

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

5-5-0Record12-5-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'6"
71"ReachTBD
140 lbsWeight135 lbs
Great Britain Top TeamTeamGBG MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Shane CampbellNow 1508
If they win+16→ 1524
If they lose-16→ 1492
Sirwan KakaiNow 1498
If they win+25→ 1523
If they lose-23→ 1475

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1521 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1628 · 3 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.57
TBD
Strike accuracy
41%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.63
TBD
Strike defense
62%
TBD
Takedown avg.
4
TBD
Takedown accuracy
42%
TBD
Takedown defense
83%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Shane CampbellSirwan Kakai
1500155020162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (20%)
KO/TKO
4 (33%)
0 (0%)
Submission
6 (50%)
4 (80%)
Decision
2 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

Shane Campbell63%
Sirwan Kakai 37%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Shane Campbell a 63% favorite over Sirwan Kakai in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1508 vs 1498), separated by just 10 points.

Sirwan Kakai enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Shane Campbell finishes 20% of wins inside the distance, Sirwan Kakai 83%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.