Combat Edge Intelligence

Shimon Smotritsky vs Zach Scroggin

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-2-0Record7-1-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'3"
TBDReach74"
170 lbsWeight183 lbs
Moshik BoxTeamMarathon MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Shimon SmotritskyNow 1623
If they win+16→ 1639
If they lose-16→ 1607
Zach ScrogginNow 1623
If they win+24→ 1647
If they lose-24→ 1599

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1535 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1517 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.52
Sig. strikes / min
2.40
35%
Strike accuracy
38%
8.67
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
8.80
56%
Strike defense
69%
3.52
Takedown avg.
0
33%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
50%
Takedown defense
0%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Shimon SmotritskyZach Scroggin
1500155016001650202220232024

Win method breakdown

5 (50%)
KO/TKO
3 (43%)
1 (10%)
Submission
2 (29%)
4 (40%)
Decision
2 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Shimon Smotritsky60%
Zach Scroggin 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Shimon Smotritsky a 60% favorite over Zach Scroggin in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1623 vs 1623), separated by just 0 points.

Shimon Smotritsky enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Shimon Smotritsky finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Zach Scroggin 71%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.