Sho Patrick Usami vs Tim Wilde
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-2-0Record17-7-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'11"
TBDReach75"
156 lbsWeight155 lbs
Battle BoxTeamRenegade MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1628
If they lose-24→ 1580
If they win+16→ 1619
If they lose-16→ 1587
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1508 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1576 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Sho Patrick UsamiTim Wilde
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Sho Patrick Usami63%
Tim Wilde 37%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Sho Patrick Usami a 63% favorite over Tim Wilde in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1604 vs 1603), separated by just 1 points.
Sho Patrick Usami finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Tim Wilde 47%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.