Combat Edge Intelligence

Sidney Outlaw vs Terrance McKinney

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

17-6-0Record18-8-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'10"
TBDReach73"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Dante Rivera BJJTeamWarrior Camp

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Sidney OutlawNow 1674
If they win+16→ 1690
If they lose-16→ 1658
Terrance McKinneyNow 1674
If they win+12→ 1686
If they lose-12→ 1662

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1621 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1661 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0.13
Sig. strikes / min
6.53
33%
Strike accuracy
56%
0.80
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.45
71%
Strike defense
43%
3
Takedown avg.
3.31
75%
Takedown accuracy
0%
0%
Takedown defense
73%
3
Submission avg.
2.07

Trajectory

Sidney OutlawTerrance McKinney
16001650170020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (6%)
KO/TKO
9 (50%)
8 (47%)
Submission
9 (50%)
8 (47%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Terrance McKinney62%
Sidney Outlaw 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Terrance McKinney a 62% favorite over Sidney Outlaw in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Sidney Outlaw's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1674 vs 1674), separated by just 0 points.

Sidney Outlaw finishes 53% of wins inside the distance, Terrance McKinney 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.