Soa Palelei vs Tyrell Fortune
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
22-5-0Record18-3-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'2"
TBDReach77"
265 lbsWeight256 lbs
AKA ThailandTeamArizona Combat Sports
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1748
If they lose-12→ 1724
If they win+16→ 1745
If they lose-16→ 1713
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1584 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1584 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Soa PaleleiTyrell Fortune
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Tyrell Fortune70%
Soa Palelei 30%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Tyrell Fortune a 70% favorite over Soa Palelei in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Soa Palelei's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1736 vs 1729), separated by just 7 points.
Tyrell Fortune enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Soa Palelei finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Tyrell Fortune 71%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.