Combat Edge Intelligence

Souheil Kaouchen vs Tommy Hayden

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

3-0-0Record11-4-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'9"
-ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight155 lbs
Atch AcademyTeamBangkok Fight Lab

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Souheil KaouchenNow 1582
If they win+24→ 1606
If they lose-24→ 1558
Tommy HaydenNow 1580
If they win+16→ 1596
If they lose-16→ 1564

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1526 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1526 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
1.48
TBD
Strike accuracy
27%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.05
TBD
Strike defense
55%
TBD
Takedown avg.
3.42
TBD
Takedown accuracy
33%
TBD
Takedown defense
67%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Souheil KaouchenTommy Hayden
155016002017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (67%)
KO/TKO
3 (30%)
0 (0%)
Submission
6 (60%)
1 (33%)
Decision
1 (10%)

Combat Edge model read

Souheil Kaouchen63%
Tommy Hayden 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Souheil Kaouchen a 63% favorite over Tommy Hayden in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1582 vs 1580), separated by just 2 points.

Souheil Kaouchen enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Souheil Kaouchen finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Tommy Hayden 90%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.