Combat Edge Intelligence

Steve Montgomery vs Tafon Nchukwi

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-6-0Record7-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'4"Height6'0"
75,0"Reach77"
185 lbsWeight190 lbs
American Top TeamTeamTeam Lloyd Irvin

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Steve MontgomeryNow 1587
If they win+16→ 1603
If they lose-16→ 1571
Tafon NchukwiNow 1588
If they win+16→ 1604
If they lose-16→ 1572

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1536 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1619 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.85
Sig. strikes / min
5.57
39%
Strike accuracy
53%
4.12
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.11
48%
Strike defense
54%
0
Takedown avg.
0.76
TBD
Takedown accuracy
57%
64%
Takedown defense
65%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Steve MontgomeryTafon Nchukwi
15501600165020172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

6 (60%)
KO/TKO
4 (57%)
3 (30%)
Submission
0 (0%)
1 (10%)
Decision
3 (43%)

Combat Edge model read

Tafon Nchukwi58%
Steve Montgomery 42%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Tafon Nchukwi a 58% favorite over Steve Montgomery in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1587 vs 1588), separated by just 1 points.

Steve Montgomery finishes 90% of wins inside the distance, Tafon Nchukwi 57%.

Tafon Nchukwi carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.