Combat Edge Intelligence

Tamerlan Temirov vs Thiago Alves

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

4-1-0Record23-15-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'8"Height5'10"
72"Reach70,0"
158 lbsWeight170 lbs
Dr. Makoi TeamTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Tamerlan TemirovNow 1573
If they win+24→ 1597
If they lose-24→ 1549
Thiago AlvesNow 1572
If they win+12→ 1584
If they lose-12→ 1560

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1513 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1650 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.73
TBD
Strike accuracy
42%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.42
TBD
Strike defense
63%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.71
TBD
Takedown accuracy
61%
TBD
Takedown defense
63%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.30

Trajectory

Tamerlan TemirovThiago Alves
15501600201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (25%)
KO/TKO
13 (57%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (4%)
3 (75%)
Decision
9 (39%)

Combat Edge model read

Tamerlan Temirov73%
Thiago Alves 27%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Tamerlan Temirov a 73% favorite over Thiago Alves in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1573 vs 1572), separated by just 1 points.

Thiago Alves enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Tamerlan Temirov finishes 25% of wins inside the distance, Thiago Alves 61%.

Tamerlan Temirov carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.