Tariq Ismail vs Yoshiro Maeda
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-1-0Record39-19-3
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'7"
67"ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight128 lbs
Bazooka Kickboxing & MMATeamPancrase Inagakigumi
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1615
If they lose-16→ 1583
If they win+12→ 1612
If they lose-12→ 1588
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1516 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1517 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Tariq IsmailYoshiro Maeda
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Tariq Ismail67%
Yoshiro Maeda 33%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Tariq Ismail a 67% favorite over Yoshiro Maeda in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Yoshiro Maeda's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1599 vs 1600), separated by just 1 points.
Tariq Ismail finishes 13% of wins inside the distance, Yoshiro Maeda 61%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.