Combat Edge Intelligence

Tariq Pell vs Teemu Packalen

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tariq Pell

Tariq Pell

“The Tsunami”

8-2-0LightweightCWFC

1608Solid

Tale of the tape

8-2-0Record8-3-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height6'1"
-Reach75,5"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Blood Sweat and TearsTeamFinnfighters' Gym

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Tariq PellNow 1608
If they win+16→ 1624
If they lose-16→ 1592
Teemu PackalenNow 1610
If they win+16→ 1626
If they lose-16→ 1594

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1491 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1571 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.57
TBD
Strike accuracy
54%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.91
TBD
Strike defense
48%
TBD
Takedown avg.
2.31
TBD
Takedown accuracy
25%
TBD
Takedown defense
100%
TBD
Submission avg.
1.54

Trajectory

Tariq PellTeemu Packalen
15501600201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (43%)
KO/TKO
2 (25%)
2 (29%)
Submission
6 (75%)
2 (29%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Tariq Pell79%
Teemu Packalen 21%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Tariq Pell a 79% favorite over Teemu Packalen in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Teemu Packalen's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1608 vs 1610), separated by just 2 points.

Teemu Packalen enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Tariq Pell finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Teemu Packalen 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.