Combat Edge Intelligence

Taylor Michels vs William Macario

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

1-1-0Record11-7-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'11"
70"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Academy of Combat ArtsTeamPejor

What's at stake

Taylor Michels is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — William Macario carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Taylor MichelsNow 1498
If they win+22→ 1520
If they lose-26→ 1472
William MacarioNow 1462
If they win+26→ 1488
If they lose-22→ 1440

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1500 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1626 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
4.92
TBD
Strike accuracy
55%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.96
TBD
Strike defense
66%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.85
TBD
Takedown accuracy
45%
TBD
Takedown defense
79%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Taylor MichelsWilliam Macario
145015002020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (100%)
KO/TKO
7 (64%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (9%)
0 (0%)
Decision
3 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Taylor Michels70%
William Macario 30%Elo baseline: 55%

The Combat Edge model makes Taylor Michels a 70% favorite over William Macario in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).

Taylor Michels holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1498 to 1462, a 36-point edge.

William Macario enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

William Macario 73%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.