Combat Edge Intelligence

Thiago Silva vs Tuco Tokkos

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tuco Tokkos

Tuco Tokkos

“Tuco”

11-6-0Light HeavyweightUFC

1592Solid

Tale of the tape

21-9-0Record11-6-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'4"
TBDReach76"
223 lbsWeight205 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamKill Cliff FC

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Thiago SilvaNow 1600
If they win+12→ 1612
If they lose-12→ 1588
Tuco TokkosNow 1592
If they win+16→ 1608
If they lose-16→ 1576

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1555 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1568 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.92
Sig. strikes / min
2.12
50%
Strike accuracy
40%
2.55
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.27
67%
Strike defense
47%
1.03
Takedown avg.
4.21
47%
Takedown accuracy
47%
71%
Takedown defense
33%
0.69
Submission avg.
0.47

Trajectory

Thiago SilvaTuco Tokkos
160016502017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

15 (71%)
KO/TKO
6 (55%)
1 (5%)
Submission
3 (27%)
5 (24%)
Decision
2 (18%)

Combat Edge model read

Tuco Tokkos60%
Thiago Silva 40%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Tuco Tokkos a 60% favorite over Thiago Silva in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Thiago Silva's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1600 vs 1592), separated by just 8 points.

Thiago Silva finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Tuco Tokkos 82%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.