Tim McKenzie vs Zayne Havener
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-9-0Record5-2-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height6'1"
TBDReach-
174 lbsWeight185 lbs
TBDTeamNice Guy Submission Fighting
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1626
If they lose-16→ 1594
If they win+24→ 1635
If they lose-24→ 1587
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1570 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1509 · 8 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Tim McKenzieZayne Havener
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Zayne Havener71%
Tim McKenzie 29%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Zayne Havener a 71% favorite over Tim McKenzie in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1610 vs 1611), separated by just 1 points.
Zayne Havener enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Tim McKenzie finishes 93% of wins inside the distance, Zayne Havener 83%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.