Todd Medina vs Trevor Makengo
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-9-0Record2-1-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
5'10"Height6'3"
TBDReach-
205 lbsWeight239 lbs
Carlson Gracie Jiu-JitsuTeamC-MAC
What's at stake
Trevor Makengo is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — Todd Medina carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1532
If they lose-15→ 1500
If they win+23→ 1554
If they lose-25→ 1506
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1517 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 3 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Todd MedinaTrevor Makengo
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Trevor Makengo56%
Todd Medina 44%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Trevor Makengo a 56% favorite over Todd Medina in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Trevor Makengo holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1531 to 1515, a 16-point edge.
Todd Medina enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Todd Medina finishes 91% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.