Combat Edge Intelligence

Tofiq Musayev vs Vitor Ribeiro

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

23-6-0Record20-5-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'8"
69"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight156 lbs
Orion Fight ClubTeamNova Uniao

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Tofiq MusayevNow 1706
If they win+16→ 1722
If they lose-16→ 1690
Vitor RibeiroNow 1703
If they win+12→ 1715
If they lose-12→ 1691

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1651 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1593 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.84
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
46%
Strike accuracy
TBD
1.74
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
51%
Strike defense
TBD
2.30
Takedown avg.
TBD
60%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
50%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Tofiq MusayevVitor Ribeiro
1700175020102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

18 (78%)
KO/TKO
3 (15%)
2 (9%)
Submission
11 (55%)
3 (13%)
Decision
6 (30%)

Combat Edge model read

Tofiq Musayev72%
Vitor Ribeiro 28%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Tofiq Musayev a 72% favorite over Vitor Ribeiro in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1706 vs 1703), separated by just 3 points.

Vitor Ribeiro enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Tofiq Musayev finishes 87% of wins inside the distance, Vitor Ribeiro 70%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.