Tofiq Musayev vs Yan Cabral
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-6-0Record15-3-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'0"
69"Reach73,0"
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
Orion Fight ClubTeamAranha Barcelona BJJ
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1722
If they lose-16→ 1690
If they win+16→ 1718
If they lose-16→ 1686
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1651 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1593 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Tofiq MusayevYan Cabral
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Tofiq Musayev70%
Yan Cabral 30%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Tofiq Musayev a 70% favorite over Yan Cabral in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1706 vs 1702), separated by just 4 points.
Yan Cabral enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Tofiq Musayev finishes 87% of wins inside the distance, Yan Cabral 93%.
Tofiq Musayev and Yan Cabral share 1 common opponent: Johnny Case.
Yan Cabral carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.