Tom Breese
Elo1662GoodTom Breese vs Vlasto Čepo
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →Elo1662Good
Tale of the tape
18-5-0Record14-3-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'3"Height6'1"
TBDReach-
205 lbsWeight186 lbs
Team RenegadeTeamAmerican Top Team Zagreb
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1674
If they lose-12→ 1650
If they win+16→ 1674
If they lose-16→ 1642
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1593 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1503 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Tom BreeseVlasto Čepo
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Tom Breese52%
Vlasto Čepo 48%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Tom Breese a 52% favorite over Vlasto Čepo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1662 vs 1658), separated by just 4 points.
Tom Breese enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Vlasto Čepo enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Tom Breese finishes 94% of wins inside the distance, Vlasto Čepo 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.