Tony Ferguson vs Zak Ottow
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
25-11-0Record20-8-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'11"
76"Reach40,5"
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
Knuckleheadz MMATeamPura Vida BJJ
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1671
If they lose-12→ 1647
If they win+12→ 1672
If they lose-12→ 1648
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1744 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1619 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Tony FergusonZak Ottow
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Zak Ottow61%
Tony Ferguson 39%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Zak Ottow a 61% favorite over Tony Ferguson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1659 vs 1660), separated by just 1 points.
Tony Ferguson enters on a 9-fight loss streak.
Tony Ferguson finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Zak Ottow 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.