Tristan Connelly vs Westin Wilson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-9-0Record17-10-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'11"Height6'1"
68"Reach73"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Ryan's MMA - Checkmat VancouverTeamFour7 Training Center
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1613
If they lose-16→ 1581
If they win+12→ 1608
If they lose-12→ 1584
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1559 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1567 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Tristan ConnellyWestin Wilson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Westin Wilson54%
Tristan Connelly 46%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Westin Wilson a 54% favorite over Tristan Connelly in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Tristan Connelly's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1597 vs 1596), separated by just 1 points.
Tristan Connelly enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Tristan Connelly finishes 93% of wins inside the distance, Westin Wilson 100%.
Westin Wilson carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.