Combat Edge Intelligence

Tuco Tokkos vs William Knight

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tuco Tokkos

Tuco Tokkos

“Tuco”

11-6-0Light HeavyweightUFC

1592Solid

Tale of the tape

11-6-0Record11-6-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height5'10"
76"Reach 73"
205 lbsWeight245 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamThornton Martial Arts

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Tuco TokkosNow 1592
If they win+16→ 1608
If they lose-16→ 1576
William KnightNow 1599
If they win+16→ 1615
If they lose-16→ 1583

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1568 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1626 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.12
Sig. strikes / min
2.62
40%
Strike accuracy
57%
4.27
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.30
47%
Strike defense
36%
4.21
Takedown avg.
1.78
47%
Takedown accuracy
41%
33%
Takedown defense
48%
0.47
Submission avg.
0.41

Trajectory

Tuco TokkosWilliam Knight
160016501700202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (55%)
KO/TKO
9 (82%)
3 (27%)
Submission
0 (0%)
2 (18%)
Decision
2 (18%)

Combat Edge model read

Tuco Tokkos59%
William Knight 41%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Tuco Tokkos a 59% favorite over William Knight in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans William Knight's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1592 vs 1599), separated by just 7 points.

William Knight enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Tuco Tokkos finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, William Knight 82%.

Tuco Tokkos carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.