Combat Edge Intelligence

Valmir Lazaro vs Yancy Medeiros

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

19-8-0Record16-9-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'10"
73,0"Reach75"
154 lbsWeight165 lbs
Nova UniaoTeamTeam Hakuilua

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Valmir LazaroNow 1613
If they win+12→ 1625
If they lose-12→ 1601
Yancy MedeirosNow 1610
If they win+16→ 1626
If they lose-16→ 1594

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1514 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1672 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.87
Sig. strikes / min
4.36
37%
Strike accuracy
37%
4.09
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.67
62%
Strike defense
47%
1.33
Takedown avg.
0.33
40%
Takedown accuracy
17%
96%
Takedown defense
74%
0
Submission avg.
0.65

Trajectory

Valmir LazaroYancy Medeiros
1600165020202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

11 (58%)
KO/TKO
8 (50%)
0 (0%)
Submission
4 (25%)
8 (42%)
Decision
4 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Valmir Lazaro53%
Yancy Medeiros 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Valmir Lazaro a 53% favorite over Yancy Medeiros in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1613 vs 1610), separated by just 3 points.

Valmir Lazaro finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Yancy Medeiros 75%.

Yancy Medeiros carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.