Combat Edge Intelligence

Victor Altamirano vs Zhalgas Zhumagulov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-5-0Record19-9-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'4"
70"Reach66"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Double Five Mid CitiesTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Victor AltamiranoNow 1636
If they win+16→ 1652
If they lose-16→ 1620
Zhalgas ZhumagulovNow 1639
If they win+16→ 1655
If they lose-16→ 1623

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1593 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1581 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.58
Sig. strikes / min
5.24
53%
Strike accuracy
43%
3.82
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.86
53%
Strike defense
52%
2.88
Takedown avg.
1.30
38%
Takedown accuracy
19%
63%
Takedown defense
75%
0
Submission avg.
0.19

Trajectory

Victor AltamiranoZhalgas Zhumagulov
1550160016501700202320242025

Win method breakdown

2 (17%)
KO/TKO
9 (47%)
4 (33%)
Submission
1 (5%)
6 (50%)
Decision
9 (47%)

Combat Edge model read

Zhalgas Zhumagulov60%
Victor Altamirano 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Zhalgas Zhumagulov a 60% favorite over Victor Altamirano in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1636 vs 1639), separated by just 3 points.

Victor Altamirano enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Zhalgas Zhumagulov enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Victor Altamirano finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Zhalgas Zhumagulov 53%.

Victor Altamirano carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.