Wang Guan vs Zak Flessas
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
22-1-1Record3-1-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'11"Height5'10"
42.00Reach-
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
American Top TeamTeamWanderley Jiu-Jitsu
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1554
If they lose-24→ 1506
If they win+24→ 1549
If they lose-24→ 1501
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1586 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1491 · 3 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Wang GuanZak Flessas
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Zak Flessas59%
Wang Guan 41%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Zak Flessas a 59% favorite over Wang Guan in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Wang Guan's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1530 vs 1525), separated by just 5 points.
Wang Guan finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Zak Flessas 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.