Combat Edge Intelligence

Abdelkrim Zouad vs Devin Smyth

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Devin Smyth
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Devin Smyth

“The Prodigy”

10-4-0WelterweightLFA

1601Solid

Tale of the tape

7-2-0Record10-4-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'10"
-ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
MMA BarcelonaTeamMurcielago MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Abdelkrim ZouadNow 1604
If they win+24→ 1628
If they lose-24→ 1580
Devin SmythNow 1601
If they win+16→ 1617
If they lose-16→ 1585

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1501 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.60
TBD
Strike accuracy
68%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6.73
TBD
Strike defense
25%
TBD
Takedown avg.
4
TBD
Takedown accuracy
27%
TBD
Takedown defense
100%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Abdelkrim ZouadDevin Smyth
150015501600165020242025

Win method breakdown

3 (43%)
KO/TKO
2 (20%)
3 (43%)
Submission
5 (50%)
1 (14%)
Decision
3 (30%)

Combat Edge model read

Abdelkrim Zouad54%
Devin Smyth 46%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Abdelkrim Zouad a 54% favorite over Devin Smyth in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1604 vs 1601), separated by just 3 points.

Abdelkrim Zouad finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Devin Smyth 70%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.