Abe Alsaghir vs Joe Solecki
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-0-0Record13-6-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'9"
72" Reach70"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
TBDTeamGym-O
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1690
If they lose-24→ 1642
If they win+16→ 1683
If they lose-16→ 1651
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1483 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1667 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Abe AlsaghirJoe Solecki
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Abe Alsaghir63%
Joe Solecki 37%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Abe Alsaghir a 63% favorite over Joe Solecki in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Joe Solecki's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1666 vs 1667), separated by just 1 points.
Abe Alsaghir enters on a 8-fight win streak.
Joe Solecki enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Abe Alsaghir finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Joe Solecki 69%.
Abe Alsaghir carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.