Combat Edge Intelligence

Abu Azaitar vs Dustin Stoltzfus

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Abu Azaitar
ma

Abu Azaitar

“Captain Morocco”

14-4-1MiddleweightUFC

1634Solid

Tale of the tape

14-4-1Record16-8-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'9"Height5'11"
41,0"Reach75"
186 lbsWeight185 lbs
Team AzaitarTeamFrankers Fight Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Abu AzaitarNow 1634
If they win+16→ 1650
If they lose-16→ 1618
Dustin StoltzfusNow 1637
If they win+16→ 1653
If they lose-16→ 1621

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1540 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1680 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.38
Sig. strikes / min
3.30
43%
Strike accuracy
45%
4.32
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.23
51%
Strike defense
48%
1
Takedown avg.
2.08
38%
Takedown accuracy
10%
43%
Takedown defense
47%
0
Submission avg.
1.11

Trajectory

Abu AzaitarDustin Stoltzfus
16502022202320242025

Win method breakdown

7 (50%)
KO/TKO
3 (20%)
1 (7%)
Submission
6 (40%)
6 (43%)
Decision
6 (40%)

Combat Edge model read

Dustin Stoltzfus67%
Abu Azaitar 33%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Dustin Stoltzfus a 67% favorite over Abu Azaitar in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1634 vs 1637), separated by just 3 points.

Abu Azaitar enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Dustin Stoltzfus enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Abu Azaitar finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Dustin Stoltzfus 60%.

Abu Azaitar and Dustin Stoltzfus share 1 common opponent: Marc-André Barriault.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossTKO · 2021
Marc-André Barriault
WinKO · 2024