Combat Edge Intelligence

Adlan Amagov vs Benson Henderson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-2-1Record30-13-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'9"
TBDReach70"
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamMMA Lab

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Adlan AmagovNow 1717
If they win+16→ 1733
If they lose-16→ 1701
Benson HendersonNow 1719
If they win+12→ 1731
If they lose-12→ 1707

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1560 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1660 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.29
Sig. strikes / min
2.93
48%
Strike accuracy
46%
0.82
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.79
79%
Strike defense
64%
5.84
Takedown avg.
2.40
56%
Takedown accuracy
46%
100%
Takedown defense
64%
0
Submission avg.
0.79

Trajectory

Adlan AmagovBenson Henderson
17002014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (57%)
KO/TKO
5 (17%)
1 (7%)
Submission
9 (30%)
5 (36%)
Decision
16 (53%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Adlan Amagov and Benson Henderson within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1717 vs 1719), separated by just 2 points.

Adlan Amagov enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Benson Henderson enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Adlan Amagov finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Benson Henderson 47%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.