Aiemann Zahabi vs Said Nurmagomedov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-3-0Record18-5-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'8"
68"Reach70"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Tristar GymTeamFight Club Akhmat
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1740
If they lose-16→ 1708
If they win+16→ 1739
If they lose-16→ 1707
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1695 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1690 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Aiemann ZahabiSaid Nurmagomedov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Aiemann Zahabi62%
Said Nurmagomedov 38%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Aiemann Zahabi a 62% favorite over Said Nurmagomedov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1724 vs 1723), separated by just 1 points.
Said Nurmagomedov enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Aiemann Zahabi finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Said Nurmagomedov 56%.
Aiemann Zahabi and Said Nurmagomedov share 1 common opponent: Ricardo Ramos.
Said Nurmagomedov carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.