Al Matavao vs Julian Marquez
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-7-0Record9-6-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'8"Height6'2"
TBDReach72"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Legacy Jiu-JitsuTeamFactory X
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1590
If they lose-16→ 1558
If they win+16→ 1592
If they lose-16→ 1560
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1544 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1617 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Al MatavaoJulian Marquez
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Al Matavao70%
Julian Marquez 30%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Al Matavao a 70% favorite over Julian Marquez in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Julian Marquez's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1574 vs 1576), separated by just 2 points.
Julian Marquez enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Al Matavao finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, Julian Marquez 100%.
Al Matavao and Julian Marquez share 1 common opponent: Gregory Rodrigues.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.