Combat Edge Intelligence

Albert Cheng vs Gilbert Urbina

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

7-4-0Record7-4-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height6'3"
TBDReach75"
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
Evolucao ThaiTeamBMF Ranch

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Albert ChengNow 1568
If they win+16→ 1584
If they lose-16→ 1552
Gilbert UrbinaNow 1572
If they win+16→ 1588
If they lose-16→ 1556

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1515 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1571 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1
Sig. strikes / min
5.57
42%
Strike accuracy
57%
2.60
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.62
71%
Strike defense
45%
0
Takedown avg.
2.86
0%
Takedown accuracy
44%
0%
Takedown defense
0%
0
Submission avg.
0.71

Trajectory

Albert ChengGilbert Urbina
145015001550160020152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

1 (17%)
KO/TKO
2 (29%)
2 (33%)
Submission
2 (29%)
3 (50%)
Decision
3 (43%)

Combat Edge model read

Gilbert Urbina54%
Albert Cheng 46%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Gilbert Urbina a 54% favorite over Albert Cheng in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1568 vs 1572), separated by just 4 points.

Gilbert Urbina enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Albert Cheng finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Gilbert Urbina 57%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.