Combat Edge Intelligence

Albert Duraev vs Matěj Peňáz

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

16-5-0Record11-1-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height6'3"
75"Reach83"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamReinders MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Albert DuraevNow 1679
If they win+16→ 1695
If they lose-16→ 1663
Matěj PeňázNow 1679
If they win+16→ 1695
If they lose-16→ 1663

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1607 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1505 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.99
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
40%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.01
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
60%
Strike defense
TBD
1.97
Takedown avg.
TBD
29%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
67%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.56
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Albert DuraevMatěj Peňáz
1650170020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (19%)
KO/TKO
10 (91%)
9 (56%)
Submission
0 (0%)
4 (25%)
Decision
1 (9%)

Combat Edge model read

Matěj Peňáz70%
Albert Duraev 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Matěj Peňáz a 70% favorite over Albert Duraev in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Albert Duraev's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1679 vs 1679), separated by just 0 points.

Matěj Peňáz enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Albert Duraev finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Matěj Peňáz 91%.

Matěj Peňáz carries a 8-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.